Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.462914e-03 0.001635 0.001810 0.001998 0.002197 0.002398 0.002618
2024-12-29 1.203557e-03 0.001451 0.001710 0.002000 0.002312 0.002637 0.002999
2025-01-05 1.010135e-03 0.001314 0.001642 0.002019 0.002435 0.002876 0.003376
2025-01-12 8.636840e-04 0.001211 0.001600 0.002058 0.002573 0.003129 0.003767
2025-01-19 6.839843e-04 0.001053 0.001481 0.001999 0.002595 0.003249 0.004011
2025-01-26 5.570714e-04 0.000943 0.001408 0.001985 0.002661 0.003414 0.004300
2025-02-02 4.502318e-04 0.000845 0.001340 0.001970 0.002722 0.003568 0.004576
2025-02-09 4.047417e-04 0.000822 0.001360 0.002057 0.002899 0.003856 0.005000
2025-02-16 3.328745e-04 0.000754 0.001318 0.002064 0.002978 0.004027 0.005292
2025-02-23 2.437034e-04 0.000647 0.001216 0.001991 0.002958 0.004080 0.005445
2025-03-02 1.732914e-04 0.000556 0.001127 0.001927 0.002943 0.004136 0.005598
2025-03-09 1.226405e-04 0.000485 0.001061 0.001888 0.002955 0.004220 0.005783
2025-03-16 7.022488e-05 0.000405 0.000987 0.001857 0.003003 0.004379 0.006094
2025-03-23 3.981206e-05 0.000355 0.000955 0.001881 0.003122 0.004628 0.006517
2025-03-30 1.929003e-05 0.000313 0.000931 0.001915 0.003254 0.004895 0.006967
2025-04-06 7.302769e-06 0.000281 0.000918 0.001964 0.003407 0.005189 0.007450
2025-04-13 1.170699e-10 0.000217 0.000841 0.001914 0.003427 0.005318 0.007738
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000175 0.000795 0.001905 0.003499 0.005511 0.008100
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000139 0.000750 0.001894 0.003566 0.005696 0.008453
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000132 0.000768 0.001983 0.003768 0.006052 0.009014
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000106 0.000738 0.001991 0.003859 0.006265 0.009402
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000069 0.000663 0.001920 0.003838 0.006334 0.009610
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000041 0.000598 0.001858 0.003824 0.006410 0.009825